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David Lobell

Title:Associate Professor
Primary Affiliation:Department of Environmental Earth System Science
Other Affiliations:Earth Systems, E-IPER, Associate Director of Center on Food Security and the Environment; Senior Fellow at Woods Institute for the Environment and Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
Office Location:Y2E2  367
Research Group:Lobell Laboratory
Research Lab:Spatial Analysis Center
Alternative Website:Center on Food Security and the Environment
Phone:650-721-6207
E-mail:dlobell@stanford.edu

Teaching

I currently teach four courses open to both undergraduate and graduate students. One is "Fundamentals of Modeling" that is a hands-on introduction to environmental modeling concepts and techniques, a required class for first year deparment graduate students. A second is "Climate and Agriculture" which covers different aspects of climate change impacts on food production and food security. Third is a seminar on "Global Land Use to 2050," taught in winter 2012 with Tom Hertel. Fourth, I co-teach "Advanced Statistical Methods for Earth System Science" with Bala Rajaratnam.

Professional Activities

Current activities in 2012: Lead author for IPCC Fifth Assessment Report; Member of National Academy of Science committee on "Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Political and Social Stresses"; Member of Technical Advisory and Review Panel for World Bank Group activities related to climate change adaptation; Editor for Global Change Biology and Associate Editor for Environmental Research Letters; numerous academic and public lectures

Education

  • 2005 | Ph.D. Geological and Environmental Sciences Stanford University
  • 2000 | Sc.B. Applied Mathematics Brown University

Professional Experience

  • 2009 - Present | Assistant Professor Environmental Earth System Science, Stanford University
  • 2009 - Present | Center Fellow, Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University
  • 2009 - Present | Woods Institute for the Environment and Freeman Spogli
  • 2009 - Present | Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
  • 2008 - 2009 | Senior Research Scholar Program on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University
  • 2005 - 2007 | Lawrence Postdoctoral Fellow Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Honors & Awards

  • 2011 | Terman Fellow
  • 2010 | Google Science Communication Fellow
  • 2010 | James B. Macelwane Medal, American Geophysical Union
  • 2008 - 2011 | NASA New Investigator Program Award
  • 2005 - 2008 | Lawrence Fellowship, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
  • 2004 | EPA Science to Achieve Results Graduate Student Fellowship
  • 2004 | NASA Earth System Science Graduate Student Fellowship
  • 2001 - 2002 | Carbon, Climate and Society Initiative Fellowship, NSF Integrative Graduate Education and Research Training
  • 2001 | Best of Session Award, ERIM Conference on Geospatial Information in Agriculture and Forestry
  • 2000 - 2004 | NSF Graduate Research Fellowship
  • 1999 | Outstanding Student Paper Award, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting. 

University Service

  • 2009-present | Earth Systems Executive Committee, Land Track Leader
  • 2009-present | Goldman Honors Program Advisory Committee
  • 2010-present | Woods Institute Environmental Venture Project proposal review committee
  • 2010-present | Stanford Interdisciplinary Graduate Fellowship review committee
  • 2011-present | Woodrow Wilson Fellowship selection committee, School of Education
  • 2010-present | Freshman Advisor
  • 2010-present | Advisory committee for Haas center
  • 2010 |Carnegie Institution Dept. of Global Ecology Search Committee
  • 2010 | EESS department seminar organizer for three quarters
  • 2010-present |one directed reading class in Spring 2010, 2 in fall 2010, 2 in spring 2011
  • 2009-present | PhD committees for students: Rachael Garrett, Joanne Gaskell, Kaitlin Schilling
  • 2009-present | Earth Systems masters advisors for 3 students

Professional Activities

  • 2012 - Present | Editorial Advisory Board Member, Global Food Security
  • 2011 - Present | Editor, Global Change Biology
  • 2011 - Present | Member of National Academy of Sciences Committee on Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Political and Social Stresses
  • 2011 - Present | Member of Technical Advisory and Review Panel for World Bank Group activities related to climate change adaptation
  • 2010 - Present | Fellow, American Geophysical Union
  • 2010 - Present | Lead Author, IPCC Working Group 2, "Food Production Systems and Food Security"
  • 2000 - Present | Member, American Geophysical Union
  • 2005 - Present | Member, American Society of Agronomy
  • 2005 - Present | Member, Ecological Society of America
  • 2009 - 2011 | Editorial Board Member, Environmental Research Letters
  • 2009 - 2010 | Member of National Academy of Sciences Committee on Stabilization Targets for Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations
  • 2008 - 2010 | Associate Editor, Journal of Environmental Quality
  • 2008 | National Academy of Sciences Panel on Climate, Energy, and Security
  • 2006 | National Academy of Sciences Workshop on Remote Sensing for Human Welfare
  • 2005 | NASA Land Cover Land Use Change Grant Review Panel

Courses Taught

  • 2012 (Fall) | EESS211 Fundamentals of Modeling [Enrolled 17]
  • 2012 (Spring) | EESS184 Climate and Agriculture [Enrolled 11]
  • 2012 (Winter) | EESS318 Global Land Use Change to 2050 [Enrolled 9]
  • 2012 (Winter) | EESS260 Advanced Statistical Methods for Earth System Analysis [Enrolled 13]
  • 2011 (Fall) | EESS211 Fundamentals of Modeling [Enrolled 26]
  • 2010 (Fall) | EESS211 Fundamentals of Modeling [Enrolled 22]
  • 2010 (Fall) | EESS 301 Topics in EESS [Enrolled 15]
  • 2010 (Spring) | EARTHSYST 184/284 Climate and Agriculture [Enrolled 29]
  • 2010 (Spring) | EESS 301 Topics in EESS [Enrolled 5]
  • 2009 (Fall) | EESS211 Fundamentals of Modeling [Enrolled 23]
  • 2009 (Spring) | EarthSys184/284 Climate and Agriculture [Enrolled 30]
  • 2009 (Winter) | EESS 301 Topics in EESS [Enrolled 6]
  • 2009 (Winter) | EARTH SYS 19 Food for Thought [Enrolled 11]
  • 2008 (Spring) | EARTH SYS 184/284 Climate and Agriculture [Enrolled 14]

Publications

  • 2013 *|Lobell, D.B.. G.L. Hammer, G. McLean, C. Messina, M.J. Roberts, and W. Schlenker.The critical role of extreme heat for maize production in the United States, Nature Climate Change, in press
  • 2013 *|Lobell, D.B., U. Baldos, and T.W. Hertel. Climate adaptation as mitigation: the case of agricultural investments, Environmental Research Letters, 8 015012 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015012
  • 2013 *+| Gourdji, S.M., K. Matthews, M. Reynolds, J. Cross, and D.B. Lobell. An assessment of wheat breeding gains in hot environments, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 280: 1752.
  • 2013 *| Lobell, D.B., Ortiz-Monasterio, J.I., Sibley, A.M., & Sohu, V.S. Satellite detection of earlier wheat sowing in India and implications for yield trends. Agricultural Systems, 115, 137-143
  • 2013 *| Lobell, D.B. Errors in climate datasets and their effects on statistical crop models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170, 58-66
  • 2012 *+| McGrath, J.M., & Lobell, D.B. Reduction of transpiration and altered nutrient allocation contribute to nutrient decline of crops grown in elevated CO2 concentrations. Plant, Cell & Environment, in press.
  • 2012 *| Lobell, D.B., and Gourdji, S.M. The influence of climate change on global crop productivity, Plant Physiology, 160: 1686-1697.
  • 2012 *|Lobell, D.B. The use of satellite data for crop yield gap analysis. Field Crops Research, in press
  • 2012 *+| Urban, D., Roberts, M., Schlenker, W. and Lobell, D. Projected temperature changes indicate significant increase in interannual variability of U.S. maize yields. Climatic Change, 112(2): 525-533.
  • 2012 *| Lobell, D., Torney, A. and Field, C., 2012. Climate extremes in California agriculture. Climatic Change, 109: 355-363.
  • 2012 *| Lobell, D. and Field, C., 2012. California perennial crops in a changing climate. Climatic Change, 109: 317-333.
  • 2012 *+| Maltais-Landry, G. and Lobell, D.B., 2012. Evaluating the Contribution of Weather to Maize and Wheat Yield Trends in 12 US Counties. Agronomy journal, 104(2): 301.
  • 2012 *| Pongratz, J., Lobell, D.B., Cao, L. and Caldeira, K., 2012. Crop yields in a geoengineered climate. Nature Clim. Change, 2(2): 101-105.
  • 2012 *| Lobell, D.B., Sibley, A. and Ivan Ortiz-Monasterio, J., 2012. Extreme heat effects on wheat senescence in India. Nature Clim. Change, advance online publication. DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1356
  • 2011 *| Lobell, D.B., Banziger, M., Magorokosho, C. and Vivek, B., 2011. Nonlinear heat effects on African maize as evidenced by historical yield trials. Nature Clim. Change, 1(1): 42-45.
  • 2011 *| Lobell, D.B., W.S. Schlenker, and J. Costa-Roberts. 2011. “Climate trends and global crop production since 1980” Science, doi:10.1126/science.1204531.
  • 2011 *+| Loarie, S.R., Lobell, D.B., Asner, G.P., Mu, Q. and Field, C.B., 2011. Direct impacts on local climate of sugar-cane expansion in Brazil. Nature Clim. Change, 1(2): 105-109.
  • 2011 *| Rowhani, P., Lobell, D. B., Linderman, M. & Ramankutty, N. 2011. Climate variability and crop production in Tanzania. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.12.002.
  • 2011 *| Nicholas, K.A., Matthews, M.A., Lobell, D.B., Willits, N.H. and Field, C.B., 2011. Effect of vineyard-scale climate variability on Pinot noir phenolic composition. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151(12): 1556-1567.
  • 2011 *| Ahmed, S.A. et al., 2011. Climate volatility and poverty vulnerability in Tanzania. Global Environmental Change, 21(1): 46-55.
  • 2011 *+| McGrath, J.M., and D.B. Lobell. 2011. An independent method for deriving the carbon fertilization effect using historical yield data from wet and dry years. Global Change Biology, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02406.x.
  • 2011 *+| Georgescu, M., Lobell, D.B. and Field, C.B., 2011. Direct climate effects of perennial bioenergy crops in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108(11): 4307-4312.
  • 2011 *+|Seifert, C., Ortiz-Monasterio, J.I. and Lobell, D.B., 2011. Satellite-Based Detection of Salinity and Sodicity Impacts on Wheat Production in the Mexicali Valley. Soil Science Society of America Journal, 75(2): 699.
  • 2011 *+| Loarie, S.R., Lobell, D.B., Asner, G.P. and Field, C.B., 2011. Land-Cover and Surface Water Change Drive Large Albedo Increases in South America. Earth Interactions, 15(7): 1-16.
  • 2010 *| Ebi, K.L., D.B. Lobell, and C.B. Field. 2010. Climate change impacts on food security and nutrition, United Nations’ SCN News, 38: 11-17.
  • 2010 *+| Burney, J.A., Davis, S.J. and Lobell, D.B., 2010. Greenhouse gas mitigation by agricultural intensification. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(26): 12052.
  • 2010 *| Lobell, D.B., Ortiz-Monasterio, J.I. and Lee, A.S., 2010. Satellite evidence for yield growth opportunities in Northwest India. Field Crops Research, 118: 13-20.  
  • 2010 *| Hertel, T., M.B. Burke and D.B. Lobell, 2010. The poverty implications of climate-induced crop yield changes by 2030. Global Environmental Change, 20(4): 577-585.  
  • 2010 *| Lobell, D.B. and M.B. Burke. 2010. On the use of statistical models to predict crop yield responses to climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 150 (11): 1443-1452.  
  • 2010 *| Lobell, D.B. and Burke, M.B. (eds.) 2010. Climate Change and Food Security. Springer. http://www.springerlink.com/content/978-90-481-2952-2 
  • 2010 *| Fedoroff, N.V., D.S. Battisti, R.N. Beachy, P.J.M. Cooper, D.A. Fischhoff, C.N. Hodges, V.C. Knauf, D. Lobell, B.J. Mazur, D. Molden, M.P. Reynolds, P.C. Ronald, M.W. Rosegrant, P.A. Sanchez, A. Vonshak, and J.K. Zhu. 2010. Radically Rethinking Agriculture for the 21st Century. Science 327:833-834
  • 2010 *| Schlenker W and Lobell DB. 2010. Robust negative impacts of climate change on African agriculture. Environmental Research Letters: 014010 (8pp)
  • 2009 *+| Georgescu, M., D. B. Lobell, and C. B. Field. 2009, Potential impact of U.S. biofuels on regional climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L21806, doi: 10.1029/2009GL040477.
  • 2009 *| Lobell, D.B. 2009. Remote Sensing of Soil Degradation: Introduction. J. Environ. Qual. 39:1-4
  • 2009 *| Burke, M.B., E. Miguel, S. Satyanath, J.A. Dykema, and D.B. Lobell. 2009. Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106:20670
  • 2009 *| Burke MB, Lobell DB and Guarino L 2009 Shifts in African crop climates by 2050, and the implications for crop improvement and genetic resources conservation Global Environmental Change: 19, 317-325
  • 2009 *| Lobell D.B., K.G. Cassman, and C.B.Field. 2009. Crop Yield Gaps: Their Importance, Magnitudes, and Causes. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 34:4.1-4.26
  • 2009 *| Campbell, J. E., D.B. Lobell, Field, C. B. 2009. Greater transportation energy and GHG offsets from bioelectricity than ethanol. Science 10.1126/science.1168885
  • 2009 *| Lobell, D.B., G. Bala, A. Mirin, T. Phillips, R. Maxwell, D. Rotman. 2009, Regional differences in the influence of irrigation on climate, J Climate. 22:2248-2255
  • 2009 *| Lobell, D.B., S.M. Lesch, D.L. Corwin, M.G. Ulmer, K.A. Anderson, D.J. Potts, J.A. | Doolittle, M.R. Matos, and M.J. Baltes. 2009. Regional-scale Assessment of Soil Salinity in the Red River Valley Using Multi-year MODIS EVI and NDVI. J. Environ. Qual. 39:35-41
  • 2009 *| Ahrens, T.D., D.B. Lobell, J.I. Ortiz-Monasterio, Y. Li, P.A. Matson. 2009. Narrowing the agronomic yield gap with improved nitrogen use efficiency: a modeling approach. Ecological Applications. In press
  • 2008 *| Lobell, D.B., and M.B. Burke. 2008. Why are agricultural impacts of climate change so uncertain? The importance of temperature relative to precipitation. Environmental Research Letters 3:034007
  • 2008 *| Campbell, J. E., Lobell, D. B., Genova, R. C., Field, C. B. 2008. The global potential of bioenergy on abandoned agriculture lands, Environmental Science and Technology. 10.1021/es800052w
  • 2008 *| Lobell, D.B., M.B. Burke, C. Tebaldi, M.M. Mastrandrea, W.P. Falcon, and R.L. Naylor. 2008. Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science, 319:607-610. DOI: 10.1126/science.1152339
  • 2008 *| Lobell, D.B., and J.I. Ortiz-Monasterio. 2008. Satellite Monitoring of Yield Responses to Irrigation Practices across Thousands of Fields. Agron. J. 100:1005-101
  • 2008 *| Lobell, D. B., C. J. Bonfils, L. M. Kueppers, and M. A. Snyder. 2008, Irrigation cooling effect on temperature and heat index extremes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L09705, doi:10.1029/2008GL034145
  • 2008 *| Tebaldi, C., and D. B. Lobell 2008, Towards probabilistic projections of climate change impacts on global crop yields, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L08705, doi:10.1029/2008GL033423
  • 2008 *| Bonfils, C., P. Duffy, B. Santer, T. Wigley, D. Lobell, T. Phillips, and C. Doutriaux. 2008. Identification of external influences on temperatures in California. Clim. Change in press:10.1007/s10584-007-9374-9
  • 2008 *| Field, C.B., J.E. Campbell and D.B. Lobell. 2008. Biomass energy: The scale of the potential resource. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, in press. doi:10.1016/j.tree.2007.12.001
  • 2008 *| Lobell, D.B., C. Bonfils, and J.M. Faures. 2008. The role of irrigation expansion in past and future temperature trends. Earth Interactions, 12:1-11
  • 2008 *| Lobell, D.B., and C. Bonfils. 2008. The Effect of Irrigation on Regional Temperatures: A Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Trends in California, 1934–2002. J. Clim. 21:2063-2071
  • 2008 *| Lobell, D.B. and C.B. Field. 2008. Estimation of the CO2 fertilization effect using growth rate anomalies in CO2 and crop yields since 1961. Global Change Biology, 14, 39-45
  • 2008 *| Lobell, D.B. and C.B. Field. 2008. Estimation of the CO2 fertilization effect using growth rate anomalies in CO2 and crop yields since 1961. Global Change Biology, 14, 39-45
  • 2007 *| Field, C.B., D.B. Lobell, H.A. Peters, and N.R. Chiariello. 2007. Feedbacks of Terrestrial Ecosystems to Climate Change. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 32: 7.1-7.29
  • 2007 *| Bonfils, C. and D.B. Lobell. 2007. Evidence for a recent slowdown in irrigation-induced cooling, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, doi: 10.1073/pnas.0700144104
  • 2007 *| Lobell, D.B. 2007. Changes in diurnal temperature range and national cereal yields. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 145, 229-238.
  • 2007 *| Lobell, D.B. and C.B. Field. 2007. Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming. Environmental Research Letters, 2, 004000 (7pp)
  • 2007 *| Lobell, D. B., C. Bonfils, and P. B. Duffy. 2007. Climate change uncertainty for daily minimum and maximum temperatures: a model inter-comparison. Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L05715, doi:10.1029/2006GL028726
  • 2007 *| Bala, G., K. Caldeira, M. Wickett, T. J. Phillips, D. B. Lobell, C. Delire, and A. Mirin. 2007, Combined climate and carbon-cycle effects of large-scale deforestation, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 0608998104
  • 2007 *| Bonfils, C., P. Duffy, and D. Lobell, 2007, Comments on “Methodology and Results of Calculating Central California Surface Temperature Trends: Evidence of Human-Induced Climate Change?” J. Climate, 20, 4486-4489
  • 2007 *| Lobell, D. B., J. I. Ortiz-Monasterio, F. C. Gurrola, and L. Valenzuela. 2007. Identification of Saline Soils with Multiyear Remote Sensing of Crop Yields, Soil Science Society of America Journal, 71, 777-783
  • 2007 *| Lobell, D.B., and J.I. Ortiz-Monasterio. 2007. Impacts of day vs. night temperatures on spring wheat yields: a comparison of empirical and CERES model predictions in three locations. Agronomy Journal, 99:469-477
  • 2007 *| Ortiz-Monasterio, J.I., and D.B. Lobell. 2007. Remote sensing assessment of regional yield losses due to sub-optimal planting dates and fallow period weed management. Field Crops Research. 101:80-87
  • 2007 *| Lobell, D.B. 2007. The cost of uncertainty for nitrogen fertilizer management: A sensitivity analysis. Field Crops Research. 100:210-217
  • 2007 *| Lobell, D.B., K.N. Cahill, and C. Field. 2007. Historical effects of temperature and precipitation on California crop yields. Climatic Change, 81: 187-203
  • 2007 *| Lobell, D.B. , J.I. Ortiz-Monasterio, and W.P. Falcon. 2007. Yield Uncertainty at Field Scales Evaluated with Multi-Year Satellite Data. Agricultural Systems, 92:76-90
  • 2007 *| Lobell, D.B., C.B. Field, K.N. Cahill, and C. Bonfils. 2006. Impacts of future climate change on California perennial crop yields: model projections with climate and crop uncertainties. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 141(2-3):208-218

Advisee Publications

  • 2013 | Georgescu, M., Lobell, D.B., Field, C.B., & Mahalov, A. Simulated hydroclimatic impacts of projected Brazilian sugarcane expansion. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 1–6.
  • 2013 | Gourdji, S.M., K. Matthews, M. Reynolds, J. Cross, and D.B. Lobell. An assessment of wheat breeding gains in hot environments, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 280: 1752.
  • 2012 | McGrath, J.M., & Lobell, D.B. Reduction of transpiration and altered nutrient allocation contribute to nutrient decline of crops grown in elevated CO2 concentrations. Plant, Cell & Environment, in press.
  • 2012 | Urban, D., Roberts, M., Schlenker, W. and Lobell, D. Projected temperature changes indicate significant increase in interannual variability of U.S. maize yields. Climatic Change, 112(2): 525-533.
  • 2011 | McGrath, J.M., and D.B. Lobell. 2011. An independent method for deriving the carbon fertilization effect using historical yield data from wet and dry years. Global Change Biology, in press
  • 2011 | Georgescu, M., D. B. Lobell, and C. B. Field. 2011. Direct climate effects of perennial bioenergy crops in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108(11): 4307-4312.
  • 2011 | Seifert, C., J.I. Ortiz-Monasterio, and D.B. Lobell. 2011. Satellite-based detection of sodicity impacts on wheat production in the Mexicali Valley. Soil Science Society of America Journal, 75(2): 699.
  • 2011 | Loarie, S.R., D.B. Lobell, G.P. Asner, and C.B. Field. 2010. Land-cover change and surface water drive large albedo increases in South America. Earth Interactions, 15(7): 1-16.
  • 2010 | Burney, J.A., Davis, S.J. and Lobell, D.B., 2010. Greenhouse gas mitigation by agricultural intensification. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(26): 12052. 
  • 2009 | Georgescu, M., D. B. Lobell, and C. B. Field. 2009, Potential impact of U.S. biofuels on regional climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L21806, doi: 10.1029/2009GL040477. 

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