Title:

Decision Tree Analysis of Possible Drilling Outcomes to Optimise Drilling Decisions

Authors:

Malcolm A. Grant

Key Words:

Decision tree, probability, optimisation, permeability

Conference:

Stanford Geothermal Workshop

Year:

2008

Session:

Reservoir Engineering

Language:

English

Paper Number:

Grant

File Size:

54KB

View File:

Abstract:

The distribution of permeability within geothermal fields is generally lognormal. Using distributions from field data, it is possible to determine expected results of drilling, and expected well performance. Using a decision tree of possible actions (drill/accept/sidetrack), drilling costs, and measurements of well injectivity, decision criteria based on injectivity are defined.


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