Title:

Characterizing Signatures of Geothermal Exploration Data Using Machine Learning Techniques: an Application to the Nevada Play Fairway Analysis

Authors:

Connor M. SMITH, James E. FAULDS, Mark COOLBAUGH, Stephen BROWN, Cary R. LINDSEY, Sven TREITEL, Bridget AYLING, Michael FEHLER, Chen GU, and Eli MLAWSKY

Key Words:

geothermal, Nevada, play fairway analysis, PFA, machine learning, ML, permeability, geophysics, exploration, neural networks, feature selection, principal component analysis, training sites, latent features, clustering

Conference:

Stanford Geothermal Workshop

Year:

2021

Session:

Modeling

Language:

English

Paper Number:

Smith1

File Size:

2679 KB

View File:

Abstract:

We are introducing machine learning methods to the play fairway analysis to generate geothermal potential maps to support the evaluation of geothermal resource potential and the exploration for undiscovered blind geothermal systems in the Nevada Great Basin region. Our project aims to identify new ways to combine the play fairway data and empirically organize relationships between feature weights and labels in an improved workflow. As a means of doing this, we introduce machine learning methods to evaluate the influence of certain geological and geophysical features/feature sets in predicting geothermal favorability. This report highlights promising approaches based on supervised and unsupervised learning methods. First, we demonstrate a filter method applied to supervised classification modeling. The supervised filter method is based on permutation analysis to evaluate every possible feature combination/drop out scenario and rank feature influence based on the performance variance of supervised classification models. Additionally, we present an unsupervised factor analysis based on principal component analysis coupled with a semi-supervised k-means clustering algorithm. This analysis allows us to identify the optimal number of groups/clusters for training sites and structural settings to identify feature patterns including correlation, variance, and latent and dominant feature relationships. The results from these methods offer a promising avenue for identifying favorable sources of predictive information to identify the locations of blind geothermal systems and furthering our understanding of complex geothermal feature and label relationships in the Great Basin region and beyond.


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